Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 9 project a daily maximum of 34–36°C under mainly fine to cloudy conditions with light west-to-northwest winds, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 35°C and 36°C. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid long-term warming trends, while current model consensus and lack of typhoon or monsoon cooling signals support mid-30s peaks rather than extremes. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 31–32°C, but recent days have already reached 33–35°C, reinforcing trader focus on modest intensification from urban heat and humidity without crossing 37°C thresholds. Updated HKO guidance expected in the next 48 hours could refine these odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
35°C 44%
36°C 26%
37°C 14%
34°C 13%
BAGO
$16,666 Vol.
BAGO
$16,666 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
44%
36°C
26%
37°C
14%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 44%
36°C 26%
37°C 14%
34°C 13%
BAGO
$16,666 Vol.
BAGO
$16,666 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,198 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,444 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,448 Vol.
13%
35°C
$2,423 Vol.
44%
36°C
$2,158 Vol.
26%
37°C
$1,610 Vol.
14%
38°C
$2,101 Vol.
4%
39°C
$453 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$415 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 9 project a daily maximum of 34–36°C under mainly fine to cloudy conditions with light west-to-northwest winds, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 35°C and 36°C. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid long-term warming trends, while current model consensus and lack of typhoon or monsoon cooling signals support mid-30s peaks rather than extremes. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 31–32°C, but recent days have already reached 33–35°C, reinforcing trader focus on modest intensification from urban heat and humidity without crossing 37°C thresholds. Updated HKO guidance expected in the next 48 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$16,666Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 9 project a daily maximum of 34–36°C under mainly fine to cloudy conditions with light west-to-northwest winds, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 35°C and 36°C. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid long-term warming trends, while current model consensus and lack of typhoon or monsoon cooling signals support mid-30s peaks rather than extremes. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 31–32°C, but recent days have already reached 33–35°C, reinforcing trader focus on modest intensification from urban heat and humidity without crossing 37°C thresholds. Updated HKO guidance expected in the next 48 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,666Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 9 project a daily maximum of 34–36°C under mainly fine to cloudy conditions with light west-to-northwest winds, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 35°C and 36°C. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid long-term warming trends, while current model consensus and lack of typhoon or monsoon cooling signals support mid-30s peaks rather than extremes. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 31–32°C, but recent days have already reached 33–35°C, reinforcing trader focus on modest intensification from urban heat and humidity without crossing 37°C thresholds. Updated HKO guidance expected in the next 48 hours could refine these odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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