Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 10, which will suppress daytime solar heating and cap the maximum temperature near 28–30 °C. These conditions stem from regional moisture influx and weak steering patterns typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon influences, with high humidity further moderating surface warming. Historical August baselines for Shanghai average highs around 31–32 °C, but the current forecast departure aligns with trader positioning that places 29 °C as the modal outcome at 46 % implied probability. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
29°C 46%
30°C 27%
28°C 18%
31°C 7%
$16,446 Vol.
$16,446 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
18%
29°C
46%
30°C
27%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 46%
30°C 27%
28°C 18%
31°C 7%
$16,446 Vol.
$16,446 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
18%
29°C
46%
30°C
27%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 10, which will suppress daytime solar heating and cap the maximum temperature near 28–30 °C. These conditions stem from regional moisture influx and weak steering patterns typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon influences, with high humidity further moderating surface warming. Historical August baselines for Shanghai average highs around 31–32 °C, but the current forecast departure aligns with trader positioning that places 29 °C as the modal outcome at 46 % implied probability. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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