Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila's August 10 high near 30–32°C under southwest monsoon influence, with 60% rain chances that could suppress peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Traders favor 29–30°C outcomes because these align with the month's climatological average of 31°C highs while accounting for typical convective activity and humidity limiting radiative warming. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability from steering patterns and moisture influx, keeping 31°C probabilities lower but viable if clearer skies emerge. This distribution reflects aggregated assessment of monsoon-driven uncertainty rather than extreme outliers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on August 10?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 10?
30°C 36%
29°C 32%
31°C 17%
28°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
32%
30°C
36%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
29°C 32%
31°C 17%
28°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$397 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$35 Vol.
1%
27°C
$43 Vol.
2%
28°C
$19 Vol.
13%
29°C
$241 Vol.
32%
30°C
$221 Vol.
36%
31°C
$61 Vol.
17%
32°C
$27 Vol.
4%
33°C
$22 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila's August 10 high near 30–32°C under southwest monsoon influence, with 60% rain chances that could suppress peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Traders favor 29–30°C outcomes because these align with the month's climatological average of 31°C highs while accounting for typical convective activity and humidity limiting radiative warming. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability from steering patterns and moisture influx, keeping 31°C probabilities lower but viable if clearer skies emerge. This distribution reflects aggregated assessment of monsoon-driven uncertainty rather than extreme outliers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,108Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila's August 10 high near 30–32°C under southwest monsoon influence, with 60% rain chances that could suppress peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Traders favor 29–30°C outcomes because these align with the month's climatological average of 31°C highs while accounting for typical convective activity and humidity limiting radiative warming. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability from steering patterns and moisture influx, keeping 31°C probabilities lower but viable if clearer skies emerge. This distribution reflects aggregated assessment of monsoon-driven uncertainty rather than extreme outliers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,108Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila's August 10 high near 30–32°C under southwest monsoon influence, with 60% rain chances that could suppress peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Traders favor 29–30°C outcomes because these align with the month's climatological average of 31°C highs while accounting for typical convective activity and humidity limiting radiative warming. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability from steering patterns and moisture influx, keeping 31°C probabilities lower but viable if clearer skies emerge. This distribution reflects aggregated assessment of monsoon-driven uncertainty rather than extreme outliers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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