Recent warm conditions in Shenzhen, with daily highs reaching 32–36°C in early August amid typical subtropical monsoon humidity and urban heat effects, underpin trader focus on 36°C as the leading outcome for August 10. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate potential peaks near 35–37°C on the 9th before possible thunderstorm activity on the 10th, which could suppress maxima toward 33–35°C through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological August averages around 32–33°C and explains the market-implied distribution favoring 35–37°C outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, key variables for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 10?
36°C 46%
35°C 30%
37°C 11%
34°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
10%
35°C
30%
36°C
46%
37°C
11%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 46%
35°C 30%
37°C 11%
34°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
10%
35°C
30%
36°C
46%
37°C
11%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent warm conditions in Shenzhen, with daily highs reaching 32–36°C in early August amid typical subtropical monsoon humidity and urban heat effects, underpin trader focus on 36°C as the leading outcome for August 10. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate potential peaks near 35–37°C on the 9th before possible thunderstorm activity on the 10th, which could suppress maxima toward 33–35°C through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological August averages around 32–33°C and explains the market-implied distribution favoring 35–37°C outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, key variables for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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