Persistent warm subtropical high pressure and clear, stable atmospheric conditions are driving Tel Aviv toward a seasonal summer maximum near 32–33°C on August 14, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models such as those referenced by the Met Office and timeanddate project highs of 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with mid-August climatology of roughly 30–32°C. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day shift, with no major heat advection or sea-breeze suppression expected to push readings higher; traders appear to be pricing the narrow uncertainty band between typical coastal moderation and slight urban-heat or measurement-timing effects that could tip the official station reading. Updated forecasts and any late-model adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window will likely determine whether 33°C retains its lead.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 14?
33°C 56%
32°C 35%
34°C 11%
29°C or below 3%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
35%
33°C
56%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 35%
34°C 11%
29°C or below 3%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
35%
33°C
56%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm subtropical high pressure and clear, stable atmospheric conditions are driving Tel Aviv toward a seasonal summer maximum near 32–33°C on August 14, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models such as those referenced by the Met Office and timeanddate project highs of 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with mid-August climatology of roughly 30–32°C. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day shift, with no major heat advection or sea-breeze suppression expected to push readings higher; traders appear to be pricing the narrow uncertainty band between typical coastal moderation and slight urban-heat or measurement-timing effects that could tip the official station reading. Updated forecasts and any late-model adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window will likely determine whether 33°C retains its lead.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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