Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Paris on August 16, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 29–31 °C under increasing cloud cover and a modest risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. After peaks near 37–38 °C earlier in the week, northerly flow and Atlantic air advection are expected to moderate conditions while keeping skies partly sunny. Historical mid-August averages hover near 25 °C, but the lingering warmth from the current episode supports the market’s concentration on 30 °C (50 % implied probability) and nearby bins. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will determine whether slight upward or downward revisions shift the narrow 29–31 °C cluster that currently dominates trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 16?
30°C 47%
31°C 29%
29°C 17%
32°C 4.7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
47%
31°C
29%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 47%
31°C 29%
29°C 17%
32°C 4.7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$441 Vol.
2%
28°C
$887 Vol.
4%
29°C
$1,083 Vol.
17%
30°C
$2,240 Vol.
47%
31°C
$1,886 Vol.
29%
32°C
$1,050 Vol.
5%
33°C
$560 Vol.
1%
34°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$296 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Paris on August 16, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 29–31 °C under increasing cloud cover and a modest risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. After peaks near 37–38 °C earlier in the week, northerly flow and Atlantic air advection are expected to moderate conditions while keeping skies partly sunny. Historical mid-August averages hover near 25 °C, but the lingering warmth from the current episode supports the market’s concentration on 30 °C (50 % implied probability) and nearby bins. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will determine whether slight upward or downward revisions shift the narrow 29–31 °C cluster that currently dominates trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$9,340Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Paris on August 16, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 29–31 °C under increasing cloud cover and a modest risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. After peaks near 37–38 °C earlier in the week, northerly flow and Atlantic air advection are expected to moderate conditions while keeping skies partly sunny. Historical mid-August averages hover near 25 °C, but the lingering warmth from the current episode supports the market’s concentration on 30 °C (50 % implied probability) and nearby bins. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will determine whether slight upward or downward revisions shift the narrow 29–31 °C cluster that currently dominates trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,340Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Paris on August 16, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 29–31 °C under increasing cloud cover and a modest risk of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. After peaks near 37–38 °C earlier in the week, northerly flow and Atlantic air advection are expected to moderate conditions while keeping skies partly sunny. Historical mid-August averages hover near 25 °C, but the lingering warmth from the current episode supports the market’s concentration on 30 °C (50 % implied probability) and nearby bins. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will determine whether slight upward or downward revisions shift the narrow 29–31 °C cluster that currently dominates trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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