Recent model consensus for Guangzhou points to afternoon highs in the mid-30s Celsius on August 16 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms likely developing by midday. High humidity near 70-80% and cloud cover from convective activity will moderate peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation, while the urban heat island effect and light steering winds could allow brief spikes if storms are delayed. Ensemble spreads across global models reflect uncertainty in exact timing and coverage of precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 35-37°C. Historical August averages near 33-34°C provide context, yet short-range updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on instability indices will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 16?
36°C 37%
35°C 26%
37°C 22%
34°C 15%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
13%
34°C
15%
35°C
26%
36°C
30%
37°C
22%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 37%
35°C 26%
37°C 22%
34°C 15%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
13%
34°C
15%
35°C
26%
36°C
30%
37°C
22%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for Guangzhou points to afternoon highs in the mid-30s Celsius on August 16 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms likely developing by midday. High humidity near 70-80% and cloud cover from convective activity will moderate peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation, while the urban heat island effect and light steering winds could allow brief spikes if storms are delayed. Ensemble spreads across global models reflect uncertainty in exact timing and coverage of precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 35-37°C. Historical August averages near 33-34°C provide context, yet short-range updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on instability indices will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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