Recent official forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Beijing highs of 31–32°C on August 14, aligning with trader consensus around those levels amid expected thundershowers. Seasonal East Asian monsoon moisture supports convective cloud development that caps solar heating and daytime maxima near long-term August averages of 30–31°C, while current model guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection to push values higher. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs in the upper 20s to low 30s and frequent rain, reducing the odds of extremes above 34°C. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on August 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 14?
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
34°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
24%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
34°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
25°C or below
$677 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$932 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$36 Vol.
1%
29°C
$447 Vol.
4%
30°C
$75 Vol.
7%
31°C
$152 Vol.
26%
32°C
$2,533 Vol.
37%
33°C
$45 Vol.
24%
34°C
$58 Vol.
8%
35°C or higher
$65 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Beijing highs of 31–32°C on August 14, aligning with trader consensus around those levels amid expected thundershowers. Seasonal East Asian monsoon moisture supports convective cloud development that caps solar heating and daytime maxima near long-term August averages of 30–31°C, while current model guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection to push values higher. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs in the upper 20s to low 30s and frequent rain, reducing the odds of extremes above 34°C. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,574Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Beijing highs of 31–32°C on August 14, aligning with trader consensus around those levels amid expected thundershowers. Seasonal East Asian monsoon moisture supports convective cloud development that caps solar heating and daytime maxima near long-term August averages of 30–31°C, while current model guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection to push values higher. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs in the upper 20s to low 30s and frequent rain, reducing the odds of extremes above 34°C. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,574Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Beijing highs of 31–32°C on August 14, aligning with trader consensus around those levels amid expected thundershowers. Seasonal East Asian monsoon moisture supports convective cloud development that caps solar heating and daytime maxima near long-term August averages of 30–31°C, while current model guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection to push values higher. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs in the upper 20s to low 30s and frequent rain, reducing the odds of extremes above 34°C. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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