Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon, including Metro Manila, continues to drive frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms. PAGASA guidance for August 14 projects a 31°C high with 25–31°C ranges and high rain probabilities (30–90%), consistent with official monitoring at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station. Long-term August climatology centers on 30–31°C maxima, while recent model runs and current conditions show no strong warming signals or clear-sky breaks that would favor 33°C or higher. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (28.5%), reflecting the balance between typical monsoon suppression and modest potential for brief clearing that could push readings one degree warmer.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on August 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 14?
31°C 39%
32°C 29%
30°C 22%
29°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
22%
31°C
39%
32°C
29%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 29%
30°C 22%
29°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
25°C or below
$343 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$28 Vol.
1%
28°C
$331 Vol.
3%
29°C
$164 Vol.
8%
30°C
$32 Vol.
22%
31°C
$59 Vol.
39%
32°C
$84 Vol.
29%
33°C
$153 Vol.
8%
34°C
$47 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$523 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon, including Metro Manila, continues to drive frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms. PAGASA guidance for August 14 projects a 31°C high with 25–31°C ranges and high rain probabilities (30–90%), consistent with official monitoring at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station. Long-term August climatology centers on 30–31°C maxima, while recent model runs and current conditions show no strong warming signals or clear-sky breaks that would favor 33°C or higher. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (28.5%), reflecting the balance between typical monsoon suppression and modest potential for brief clearing that could push readings one degree warmer.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,796Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon, including Metro Manila, continues to drive frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms. PAGASA guidance for August 14 projects a 31°C high with 25–31°C ranges and high rain probabilities (30–90%), consistent with official monitoring at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station. Long-term August climatology centers on 30–31°C maxima, while recent model runs and current conditions show no strong warming signals or clear-sky breaks that would favor 33°C or higher. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (28.5%), reflecting the balance between typical monsoon suppression and modest potential for brief clearing that could push readings one degree warmer.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,796Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon, including Metro Manila, continues to drive frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms. PAGASA guidance for August 14 projects a 31°C high with 25–31°C ranges and high rain probabilities (30–90%), consistent with official monitoring at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station. Long-term August climatology centers on 30–31°C maxima, while recent model runs and current conditions show no strong warming signals or clear-sky breaks that would favor 33°C or higher. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (28.5%), reflecting the balance between typical monsoon suppression and modest potential for brief clearing that could push readings one degree warmer.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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