Official PAGASA forecasts for August 13 point to a 26–32°C range in Manila under active Southwest Monsoon flow, with 60–100% rain chances moderating peak heating through persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, as monsoon-driven moisture and reduced solar insolation typically cap highs near the 31°C August climatological average. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks reinforce suppressed temperature extremes, while minor model spread in steering patterns and convective timing accounts for the close probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these moisture and insolation variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on August 13?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 13?
30°C 33%
31°C 27%
29°C 26%
32°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
26%
30°C
33%
31°C
27%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 27%
29°C 26%
32°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
25°C or below
$28 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$13 Vol.
1%
27°C
$27 Vol.
5%
28°C
$103 Vol.
10%
29°C
$54 Vol.
26%
30°C
$14 Vol.
33%
31°C
$26 Vol.
27%
32°C
$137 Vol.
11%
33°C
$429 Vol.
2%
34°C
$5 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for August 13 point to a 26–32°C range in Manila under active Southwest Monsoon flow, with 60–100% rain chances moderating peak heating through persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, as monsoon-driven moisture and reduced solar insolation typically cap highs near the 31°C August climatological average. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks reinforce suppressed temperature extremes, while minor model spread in steering patterns and convective timing accounts for the close probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these moisture and insolation variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$956Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for August 13 point to a 26–32°C range in Manila under active Southwest Monsoon flow, with 60–100% rain chances moderating peak heating through persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, as monsoon-driven moisture and reduced solar insolation typically cap highs near the 31°C August climatological average. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks reinforce suppressed temperature extremes, while minor model spread in steering patterns and convective timing accounts for the close probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these moisture and insolation variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$956Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA forecasts for August 13 point to a 26–32°C range in Manila under active Southwest Monsoon flow, with 60–100% rain chances moderating peak heating through persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, as monsoon-driven moisture and reduced solar insolation typically cap highs near the 31°C August climatological average. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks reinforce suppressed temperature extremes, while minor model spread in steering patterns and convective timing accounts for the close probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these moisture and insolation variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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