Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate peak temperatures of 35–36°C in London on August 13 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that enhance subsidence warming and maximize solar insolation. These conditions, amid an ongoing summer heatwave with above-average maximums, support the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Minor variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat-island effects could shift the exact peak by 1°C, while official guidance lists a 35°C maximum with an amber extreme heat warning in force. Traders weigh this narrow forecast spread against historical August baselines when assessing resolution risk.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on August 13?
Highest temperature in London on August 13?
36°C 42%
35°C 38%
34°C 10%
37°C 9%
BAGO
$15,580 Vol.
BAGO
$15,580 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
38%
36°C
42%
37°C
9%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 42%
35°C 38%
34°C 10%
37°C 9%
BAGO
$15,580 Vol.
BAGO
$15,580 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
30°C or below
$3,812 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$849 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$662 Vol.
1%
33°C
$850 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,908 Vol.
10%
35°C
$2,658 Vol.
38%
36°C
$2,411 Vol.
42%
37°C
$963 Vol.
9%
38°C
$959 Vol.
2%
39°C
$238 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$270 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate peak temperatures of 35–36°C in London on August 13 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that enhance subsidence warming and maximize solar insolation. These conditions, amid an ongoing summer heatwave with above-average maximums, support the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Minor variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat-island effects could shift the exact peak by 1°C, while official guidance lists a 35°C maximum with an amber extreme heat warning in force. Traders weigh this narrow forecast spread against historical August baselines when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$15,580Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate peak temperatures of 35–36°C in London on August 13 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that enhance subsidence warming and maximize solar insolation. These conditions, amid an ongoing summer heatwave with above-average maximums, support the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Minor variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat-island effects could shift the exact peak by 1°C, while official guidance lists a 35°C maximum with an amber extreme heat warning in force. Traders weigh this narrow forecast spread against historical August baselines when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,580Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate peak temperatures of 35–36°C in London on August 13 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that enhance subsidence warming and maximize solar insolation. These conditions, amid an ongoing summer heatwave with above-average maximums, support the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Minor variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban heat-island effects could shift the exact peak by 1°C, while official guidance lists a 35°C maximum with an amber extreme heat warning in force. Traders weigh this narrow forecast spread against historical August baselines when assessing resolution risk.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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