Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate New York City will reach a daily maximum of 86-87°F on August 11, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.8% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure and above-average seasonal warmth—centered on an 83°F August norm from Central Park climatology—have produced stable afternoon conditions with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling, keeping readings tightly clustered in the mid-80s. Real-time observations and ensemble runs show minimal spread, supporting trader consensus backed by capital at risk. Only an unexpected late-day surge in mixing or measurement variance at official stations such as LaGuardia could realistically shift the official high outside this narrow window before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on August 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 11?
86-87°F 99.7%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$97,464 Vol.
$97,464 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 99.7%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$97,464 Vol.
$97,464 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
83°F or below
$14,071 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$15,379 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$16,875 Vol.
100%
88-89°F
$15,363 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$17,214 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$8,841 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$4,429 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,123 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$880 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$2,867 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$422 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate New York City will reach a daily maximum of 86-87°F on August 11, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.8% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure and above-average seasonal warmth—centered on an 83°F August norm from Central Park climatology—have produced stable afternoon conditions with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling, keeping readings tightly clustered in the mid-80s. Real-time observations and ensemble runs show minimal spread, supporting trader consensus backed by capital at risk. Only an unexpected late-day surge in mixing or measurement variance at official stations such as LaGuardia could realistically shift the official high outside this narrow window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$97,464Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate New York City will reach a daily maximum of 86-87°F on August 11, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.8% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure and above-average seasonal warmth—centered on an 83°F August norm from Central Park climatology—have produced stable afternoon conditions with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling, keeping readings tightly clustered in the mid-80s. Real-time observations and ensemble runs show minimal spread, supporting trader consensus backed by capital at risk. Only an unexpected late-day surge in mixing or measurement variance at official stations such as LaGuardia could realistically shift the official high outside this narrow window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$97,464Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate New York City will reach a daily maximum of 86-87°F on August 11, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.8% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure and above-average seasonal warmth—centered on an 83°F August norm from Central Park climatology—have produced stable afternoon conditions with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling, keeping readings tightly clustered in the mid-80s. Real-time observations and ensemble runs show minimal spread, supporting trader consensus backed by capital at risk. Only an unexpected late-day surge in mixing or measurement variance at official stations such as LaGuardia could realistically shift the official high outside this narrow window before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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