Latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate an overnight low near 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling under humid summer conditions. Above-normal seasonal temperatures across Japan this August provide a warm baseline, but variable low-level moisture and light easterly flow will determine whether skies clear enough for greater nighttime heat loss or remain overcast to hold temperatures closer to the seasonal normal minimum of 23.7°C. Ensemble spreads in guidance create the tight market split between these two outcomes, with any shift in precipitation timing or boundary-layer humidity likely to tip the final recorded minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
24°C 43%
23°C 40%
22°C 15%
21°C 4%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
15%
23°C
40%
24°C
43%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 43%
23°C 40%
22°C 15%
21°C 4%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
15%
23°C
40%
24°C
43%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate an overnight low near 23–24°C for Tokyo on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling under humid summer conditions. Above-normal seasonal temperatures across Japan this August provide a warm baseline, but variable low-level moisture and light easterly flow will determine whether skies clear enough for greater nighttime heat loss or remain overcast to hold temperatures closer to the seasonal normal minimum of 23.7°C. Ensemble spreads in guidance create the tight market split between these two outcomes, with any shift in precipitation timing or boundary-layer humidity likely to tip the final recorded minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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