Current forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high temperature on August 11 near 24–26 °C, with trader sentiment clustered around these outcomes due to modest day-to-day variability and lingering model spread. Primary differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any cloud cover or scattered showers, which can suppress peak heating by 1–2 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow greater solar insolation and surface warming. Wind direction also matters: southerly flow advects warmer air masses, while northerly or northwesterly breezes introduce cooler continental air. Recent observations show stable high pressure dominating the region with limited precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly bunched; updated short-range model runs and satellite imagery over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 11?
25°C 33%
24°C 20%
23°C 15%
26°C 14%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
20%
25°C
26%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 33%
24°C 20%
23°C 15%
26°C 14%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
20%
25°C
26%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high temperature on August 11 near 24–26 °C, with trader sentiment clustered around these outcomes due to modest day-to-day variability and lingering model spread. Primary differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any cloud cover or scattered showers, which can suppress peak heating by 1–2 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow greater solar insolation and surface warming. Wind direction also matters: southerly flow advects warmer air masses, while northerly or northwesterly breezes introduce cooler continental air. Recent observations show stable high pressure dominating the region with limited precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly bunched; updated short-range model runs and satellite imagery over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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