Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF, GFS, and the UK Met Office project Istanbul daytime maxima near 28–31°C on August 11 under stable high pressure and light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s 51% implied probability for 28°C. Local factors such as Bosphorus sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover frequently suppress peaks by 1–3°C below raw model outputs, while Turkish State Meteorological Service station observations resolve the official high. August climatology shows mean highs of 27–29°C, providing a narrow uncertainty range that favors the 27–29°C cluster (97.5% combined probability) over extremes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours remain the primary catalyst for any shifts in these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 11?
28°C 52%
27°C 25%
29°C 15%
26°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 11, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
25%
28°C
52%
29°C
16%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 52%
27°C 25%
29°C 15%
26°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 11, 2026
23°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$39 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$257 Vol.
52%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$8 Vol.
4%
32°C
$17 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$22 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF, GFS, and the UK Met Office project Istanbul daytime maxima near 28–31°C on August 11 under stable high pressure and light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s 51% implied probability for 28°C. Local factors such as Bosphorus sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover frequently suppress peaks by 1–3°C below raw model outputs, while Turkish State Meteorological Service station observations resolve the official high. August climatology shows mean highs of 27–29°C, providing a narrow uncertainty range that favors the 27–29°C cluster (97.5% combined probability) over extremes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours remain the primary catalyst for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$369Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF, GFS, and the UK Met Office project Istanbul daytime maxima near 28–31°C on August 11 under stable high pressure and light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s 51% implied probability for 28°C. Local factors such as Bosphorus sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover frequently suppress peaks by 1–3°C below raw model outputs, while Turkish State Meteorological Service station observations resolve the official high. August climatology shows mean highs of 27–29°C, providing a narrow uncertainty range that favors the 27–29°C cluster (97.5% combined probability) over extremes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours remain the primary catalyst for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$369Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF, GFS, and the UK Met Office project Istanbul daytime maxima near 28–31°C on August 11 under stable high pressure and light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s 51% implied probability for 28°C. Local factors such as Bosphorus sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover frequently suppress peaks by 1–3°C below raw model outputs, while Turkish State Meteorological Service station observations resolve the official high. August climatology shows mean highs of 27–29°C, providing a narrow uncertainty range that favors the 27–29°C cluster (97.5% combined probability) over extremes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours remain the primary catalyst for any shifts in these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong