Official Met Office observations and forecast model consensus have confirmed an overnight minimum of 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on August 11, 2026, underpinning the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. A dominant high-pressure system delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limited radiative cooling, elevating the boundary-layer minimum several degrees above the long-term August average of 13–14°C while daytime highs reached 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance showed tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in the final station readings. Only an unusually sharp wind drop or clearer overnight skies could have allowed further cooling toward 14–15°C, scenarios that did not materialize.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on August 11?
Lowest temperature in London on August 11?
16°C 100%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$12,068 Vol.
$12,068 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
16°C 100%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$12,068 Vol.
$12,068 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
12°C or below
$672 Vol.
No
13°C
$300 Vol.
No
14°C
$440 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,099 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,766 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$3,139 Vol.
No
18°C
$698 Vol.
No
19°C
$689 Vol.
No
20°C
$302 Vol.
No
21°C
$679 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$284 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations and forecast model consensus have confirmed an overnight minimum of 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on August 11, 2026, underpinning the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. A dominant high-pressure system delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limited radiative cooling, elevating the boundary-layer minimum several degrees above the long-term August average of 13–14°C while daytime highs reached 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance showed tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in the final station readings. Only an unusually sharp wind drop or clearer overnight skies could have allowed further cooling toward 14–15°C, scenarios that did not materialize.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,068Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47de9d...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations and forecast model consensus have confirmed an overnight minimum of 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on August 11, 2026, underpinning the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. A dominant high-pressure system delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limited radiative cooling, elevating the boundary-layer minimum several degrees above the long-term August average of 13–14°C while daytime highs reached 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance showed tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in the final station readings. Only an unusually sharp wind drop or clearer overnight skies could have allowed further cooling toward 14–15°C, scenarios that did not materialize.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,068Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47de9d...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Official Met Office observations and forecast model consensus have confirmed an overnight minimum of 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on August 11, 2026, underpinning the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. A dominant high-pressure system delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limited radiative cooling, elevating the boundary-layer minimum several degrees above the long-term August average of 13–14°C while daytime highs reached 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance showed tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in the final station readings. Only an unusually sharp wind drop or clearer overnight skies could have allowed further cooling toward 14–15°C, scenarios that did not materialize.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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