Traders view the 13°C and 14°C outcomes as nearly even because ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show a transitional spring setup over Wellington, where light northerly winds could briefly raise maxima to 14°C while any earlier southerly shift or increased cloud cover would hold the peak near 13°C. MetService guidance highlights variable wind direction and timing as the dominant controls on daily maximum temperature in the capital during September, when climatological averages sit around 14°C. Updated model runs overnight will likely clarify these variables ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on September 24?
13°C 51%
14°C 45%
15°C 5%
12°C 4%
$12,118 Vol.
$12,118 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
51%
14°C
45%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 51%
14°C 45%
15°C 5%
12°C 4%
$12,118 Vol.
$12,118 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
51%
14°C
45%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the 13°C and 14°C outcomes as nearly even because ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show a transitional spring setup over Wellington, where light northerly winds could briefly raise maxima to 14°C while any earlier southerly shift or increased cloud cover would hold the peak near 13°C. MetService guidance highlights variable wind direction and timing as the dominant controls on daily maximum temperature in the capital during September, when climatological averages sit around 14°C. Updated model runs overnight will likely clarify these variables ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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