Recent GFS and regional model runs position Moscow’s September 26 daytime maximum near 16 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 16 °C (44 % implied probability). Ensemble guidance shows a narrow 15–17 °C envelope, with 17 °C (22.5 %) reflecting modest warm-sector advection and 15 °C (17 %) capturing possible greater cloud cover or a slightly stronger cool northeasterly push. After a brief warm spell peaking near 21 °C on the 24th, a cooling trend driven by shifting pressure gradients has tightened the forecast range, consistent with late-September climatology of roughly 14–16 °C. Updated model cycles and observational adjustments through the 25th remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on September 26?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 26?
16°C 46%
17°C 24%
20°C 19%
15°C 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 26, 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
11%
15°C
17%
16°C
46%
17°C
24%
18°C
17%
19°C
11%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
16°C 46%
17°C 24%
20°C 19%
15°C 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 26, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$117 Vol.
46%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and regional model runs position Moscow’s September 26 daytime maximum near 16 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 16 °C (44 % implied probability). Ensemble guidance shows a narrow 15–17 °C envelope, with 17 °C (22.5 %) reflecting modest warm-sector advection and 15 °C (17 %) capturing possible greater cloud cover or a slightly stronger cool northeasterly push. After a brief warm spell peaking near 21 °C on the 24th, a cooling trend driven by shifting pressure gradients has tightened the forecast range, consistent with late-September climatology of roughly 14–16 °C. Updated model cycles and observational adjustments through the 25th remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$117Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and regional model runs position Moscow’s September 26 daytime maximum near 16 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 16 °C (44 % implied probability). Ensemble guidance shows a narrow 15–17 °C envelope, with 17 °C (22.5 %) reflecting modest warm-sector advection and 15 °C (17 %) capturing possible greater cloud cover or a slightly stronger cool northeasterly push. After a brief warm spell peaking near 21 °C on the 24th, a cooling trend driven by shifting pressure gradients has tightened the forecast range, consistent with late-September climatology of roughly 14–16 °C. Updated model cycles and observational adjustments through the 25th remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$117Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent GFS and regional model runs position Moscow’s September 26 daytime maximum near 16 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 16 °C (44 % implied probability). Ensemble guidance shows a narrow 15–17 °C envelope, with 17 °C (22.5 %) reflecting modest warm-sector advection and 15 °C (17 %) capturing possible greater cloud cover or a slightly stronger cool northeasterly push. After a brief warm spell peaking near 21 °C on the 24th, a cooling trend driven by shifting pressure gradients has tightened the forecast range, consistent with late-September climatology of roughly 14–16 °C. Updated model cycles and observational adjustments through the 25th remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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