Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C on August 13, driven by persistent summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official guidance from regional models shows daytime highs of 30–34°C with nighttime lows moderated by southeasterly flow and typical August baseline values around 25°C. These atmospheric patterns explain trader consensus behind the leading 26°C outcome at 50% implied probability, while uncertainty in shower timing and exact model runs supports secondary odds on 25°C and 27°C. No anomalous cold advection or clear-sky developments have emerged to shift expectations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?
26°C 50%
27°C 26%
25°C 13%
24°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
50%
27°C
26%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
27°C 26%
25°C 13%
24°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
50%
27°C
26%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C on August 13, driven by persistent summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official guidance from regional models shows daytime highs of 30–34°C with nighttime lows moderated by southeasterly flow and typical August baseline values around 25°C. These atmospheric patterns explain trader consensus behind the leading 26°C outcome at 50% implied probability, while uncertainty in shower timing and exact model runs supports secondary odds on 25°C and 27°C. No anomalous cold advection or clear-sky developments have emerged to shift expectations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong