**Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a maximum temperature in Tokyo on August 13, 2026, most likely between 27–29 °C, reflecting typical mid-August summer conditions moderated by cloud cover and possible showers.** High pressure with humid maritime air from the Pacific, combined with Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and limited sea breezes, supports afternoon peaks near 28–29 °C. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the timing and extent of afternoon convection or increased cloudiness, which can suppress daytime maxima by 1–2 °C. Recent JMA guidance and extended forecasts (e.g., timeanddate.com) align closely with this narrow range, producing tight market-implied probabilities as traders weigh the latest model consensus against climatological August averages of 30–33 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
29°C 30%
28°C 30%
27°C 22%
30°C 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
11%
27°C
22%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C
12%
31°C
7%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 30%
28°C 30%
27°C 22%
30°C 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
1%
25°C
$42 Vol.
1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
11%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
30%
29°C
$0 Vol.
30%
30°C
$12 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
7%
32°C
$87 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$185 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a maximum temperature in Tokyo on August 13, 2026, most likely between 27–29 °C, reflecting typical mid-August summer conditions moderated by cloud cover and possible showers.**
High pressure with humid maritime air from the Pacific, combined with Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and limited sea breezes, supports afternoon peaks near 28–29 °C. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the timing and extent of afternoon convection or increased cloudiness, which can suppress daytime maxima by 1–2 °C. Recent JMA guidance and extended forecasts (e.g., timeanddate.com) align closely with this narrow range, producing tight market-implied probabilities as traders weigh the latest model consensus against climatological August averages of 30–33 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$367Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a maximum temperature in Tokyo on August 13, 2026, most likely between 27–29 °C, reflecting typical mid-August summer conditions moderated by cloud cover and possible showers.**
High pressure with humid maritime air from the Pacific, combined with Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and limited sea breezes, supports afternoon peaks near 28–29 °C. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the timing and extent of afternoon convection or increased cloudiness, which can suppress daytime maxima by 1–2 °C. Recent JMA guidance and extended forecasts (e.g., timeanddate.com) align closely with this narrow range, producing tight market-implied probabilities as traders weigh the latest model consensus against climatological August averages of 30–33 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$367Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a maximum temperature in Tokyo on August 13, 2026, most likely between 27–29 °C, reflecting typical mid-August summer conditions moderated by cloud cover and possible showers.** High pressure with humid maritime air from the Pacific, combined with Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and limited sea breezes, supports afternoon peaks near 28–29 °C. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the timing and extent of afternoon convection or increased cloudiness, which can suppress daytime maxima by 1–2 °C. Recent JMA guidance and extended forecasts (e.g., timeanddate.com) align closely with this narrow range, producing tight market-implied probabilities as traders weigh the latest model consensus against climatological August averages of 30–33 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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