Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in London overnight into or during August 16, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top outcomes at 17°C (40.5%), 18°C (29.5%), and 16°C (24.5%). These probabilities reflect trader consensus on model guidance showing limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and mild air advection amid an above-average summer pattern. London’s urban heat island effect further supports minima several degrees warmer than rural climatology of ~13–14°C. Key upcoming inputs include the next Met Office and ECMWF model runs, which could shift odds if cloud cover or wind forecasts change.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on August 16?
Lowest temperature in London on August 16?
17°C 42%
18°C 29%
16°C 25%
19°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
25%
17°C
42%
18°C
29%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 42%
18°C 29%
16°C 25%
19°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
$83 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$336 Vol.
2%
16°C
$1,369 Vol.
25%
17°C
$2,264 Vol.
42%
18°C
$1,437 Vol.
29%
19°C
$663 Vol.
5%
20°C
$117 Vol.
1%
21°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in London overnight into or during August 16, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top outcomes at 17°C (40.5%), 18°C (29.5%), and 16°C (24.5%). These probabilities reflect trader consensus on model guidance showing limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and mild air advection amid an above-average summer pattern. London’s urban heat island effect further supports minima several degrees warmer than rural climatology of ~13–14°C. Key upcoming inputs include the next Met Office and ECMWF model runs, which could shift odds if cloud cover or wind forecasts change.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$6,822Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in London overnight into or during August 16, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top outcomes at 17°C (40.5%), 18°C (29.5%), and 16°C (24.5%). These probabilities reflect trader consensus on model guidance showing limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and mild air advection amid an above-average summer pattern. London’s urban heat island effect further supports minima several degrees warmer than rural climatology of ~13–14°C. Key upcoming inputs include the next Met Office and ECMWF model runs, which could shift odds if cloud cover or wind forecasts change.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,822Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in London overnight into or during August 16, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top outcomes at 17°C (40.5%), 18°C (29.5%), and 16°C (24.5%). These probabilities reflect trader consensus on model guidance showing limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and mild air advection amid an above-average summer pattern. London’s urban heat island effect further supports minima several degrees warmer than rural climatology of ~13–14°C. Key upcoming inputs include the next Met Office and ECMWF model runs, which could shift odds if cloud cover or wind forecasts change.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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