Current forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models indicate a mostly sunny September 1 in Buenos Aires with light easterly winds and a high near 18°C, consistent with early-spring climatology. Trader sentiment clusters on 19–21°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight warm-advection timing can push the daily maximum across those thresholds. Model spread remains modest given the stable high-pressure pattern, yet the 34.5 % implied probability on 20 °C reflects residual uncertainty in the precise peak value rather than any major synoptic shift. Updated runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 1?
20°C 50%
19°C 29%
21°C 24%
18°C 14%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
29%
20°C
34%
21°C
24%
22°C
7%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 50%
19°C 29%
21°C 24%
18°C 14%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
29%
20°C
34%
21°C
24%
22°C
7%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models indicate a mostly sunny September 1 in Buenos Aires with light easterly winds and a high near 18°C, consistent with early-spring climatology. Trader sentiment clusters on 19–21°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight warm-advection timing can push the daily maximum across those thresholds. Model spread remains modest given the stable high-pressure pattern, yet the 34.5 % implied probability on 20 °C reflects residual uncertainty in the precise peak value rather than any major synoptic shift. Updated runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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