Recent rainfall and incoming northern cold air have driven sharp cooling across Chongqing, with official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models converging on a maximum of 26–28°C for August 30 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limit daytime solar heating. This marks a notable departure from the typical late-August average near 31°C, as the combined easterly flow and precipitation suppress temperature recovery. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these lower values because forecasters assign high confidence to continued overcast conditions through the weekend, while minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and intensity create the spread between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated runs expected from the National Meteorological Center will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
26°C or below 30%
28°C 19%
27°C 18%
29°C 14%
26°C or below
30%
27°C
18%
28°C
19%
29°C
14%
30°C
9%
31°C
7%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
26°C or below 30%
28°C 19%
27°C 18%
29°C 14%
26°C or below
30%
27°C
18%
28°C
19%
29°C
14%
30°C
9%
31°C
7%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and incoming northern cold air have driven sharp cooling across Chongqing, with official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models converging on a maximum of 26–28°C for August 30 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limit daytime solar heating. This marks a notable departure from the typical late-August average near 31°C, as the combined easterly flow and precipitation suppress temperature recovery. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these lower values because forecasters assign high confidence to continued overcast conditions through the weekend, while minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and intensity create the spread between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated runs expected from the National Meteorological Center will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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