Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, fueled by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon with medium potential to develop into a tropical depression, dominates conditions for Manila on August 30. This pattern brings persistent cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rainfall, and southwesterly winds, limiting surface heating and capping daily maxima. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs indicate highs most likely in the 27–30°C range amid widespread thunderstorms, consistent with historical August monsoon suppression relative to the ~31°C seasonal baseline. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C because small differences in rain timing, convective breaks, or wind-driven mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while the moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds modest warming potential but is secondary to the immediate synoptic setup.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on August 30?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 30?
30°C 26%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
32°C 19%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
26%
31°C
21%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 26%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
32°C 19%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
$46 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$20 Vol.
5%
28°C
$2 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$35 Vol.
21%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$40 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, fueled by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon with medium potential to develop into a tropical depression, dominates conditions for Manila on August 30. This pattern brings persistent cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rainfall, and southwesterly winds, limiting surface heating and capping daily maxima. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs indicate highs most likely in the 27–30°C range amid widespread thunderstorms, consistent with historical August monsoon suppression relative to the ~31°C seasonal baseline. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C because small differences in rain timing, convective breaks, or wind-driven mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while the moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds modest warming potential but is secondary to the immediate synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$143Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, fueled by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon with medium potential to develop into a tropical depression, dominates conditions for Manila on August 30. This pattern brings persistent cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rainfall, and southwesterly winds, limiting surface heating and capping daily maxima. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs indicate highs most likely in the 27–30°C range amid widespread thunderstorms, consistent with historical August monsoon suppression relative to the ~31°C seasonal baseline. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C because small differences in rain timing, convective breaks, or wind-driven mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while the moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds modest warming potential but is secondary to the immediate synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$143Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, fueled by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon with medium potential to develop into a tropical depression, dominates conditions for Manila on August 30. This pattern brings persistent cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rainfall, and southwesterly winds, limiting surface heating and capping daily maxima. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs indicate highs most likely in the 27–30°C range amid widespread thunderstorms, consistent with historical August monsoon suppression relative to the ~31°C seasonal baseline. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C because small differences in rain timing, convective breaks, or wind-driven mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while the moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds modest warming potential but is secondary to the immediate synoptic setup.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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