Persistent southwest monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover over Manila are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 24–27°C for August 30. Recent heavy thunderstorms and an active low-pressure area northeast of Luzon have strengthened the habagat flow, sustaining high humidity near 90% and preventing clearer skies that would allow sharper drops. Official PAGASA guidance and model runs emphasize scattered showers through the period, with urban heat retention further moderating lows. Trader probabilities remain tightly bunched because small forecast shifts in overnight cloud thickness or wind speed can easily separate a 24°C versus 26°C outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
24°C 50%
30°C 49%
22°C 48%
29°C 40%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
48%
23°C
25%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
40%
30°C
49%
31°C or higher
2%
24°C 50%
30°C 49%
22°C 48%
29°C 40%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
48%
23°C
25%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
40%
30°C
49%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover over Manila are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 24–27°C for August 30. Recent heavy thunderstorms and an active low-pressure area northeast of Luzon have strengthened the habagat flow, sustaining high humidity near 90% and preventing clearer skies that would allow sharper drops. Official PAGASA guidance and model runs emphasize scattered showers through the period, with urban heat retention further moderating lows. Trader probabilities remain tightly bunched because small forecast shifts in overnight cloud thickness or wind speed can easily separate a 24°C versus 26°C outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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