Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models project a high of 26–28 °C in Tokyo on August 29 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and northeast winds, sharply limiting solar insolation compared with the 32–33 °C readings observed on August 28. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from a stalled frontal boundary suppress afternoon warming, keeping peak temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals despite the late-August timing. Market-implied odds cluster on 27 °C and 28 °C because ensemble guidance shows little spread beyond these values, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and JMA guidance most heavily ahead of the final observation window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
27°C 40%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
BAGO
$11,021 Vol.
BAGO
$11,021 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
15%
27°C
40%
28°C
29%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
BAGO
$11,021 Vol.
BAGO
$11,021 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$598 Vol.
1%
25°C
$391 Vol.
6%
26°C
$2,486 Vol.
15%
27°C
$1,227 Vol.
40%
28°C
$1,069 Vol.
29%
29°C
$1,423 Vol.
9%
30°C
$888 Vol.
3%
31°C
$115 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$408 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models project a high of 26–28 °C in Tokyo on August 29 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and northeast winds, sharply limiting solar insolation compared with the 32–33 °C readings observed on August 28. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from a stalled frontal boundary suppress afternoon warming, keeping peak temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals despite the late-August timing. Market-implied odds cluster on 27 °C and 28 °C because ensemble guidance shows little spread beyond these values, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and JMA guidance most heavily ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,021Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models project a high of 26–28 °C in Tokyo on August 29 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and northeast winds, sharply limiting solar insolation compared with the 32–33 °C readings observed on August 28. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from a stalled frontal boundary suppress afternoon warming, keeping peak temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals despite the late-August timing. Market-implied odds cluster on 27 °C and 28 °C because ensemble guidance shows little spread beyond these values, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and JMA guidance most heavily ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,021Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models project a high of 26–28 °C in Tokyo on August 29 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and northeast winds, sharply limiting solar insolation compared with the 32–33 °C readings observed on August 28. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from a stalled frontal boundary suppress afternoon warming, keeping peak temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals despite the late-August timing. Market-implied odds cluster on 27 °C and 28 °C because ensemble guidance shows little spread beyond these values, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and JMA guidance most heavily ahead of the final observation window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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