Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo will be limited by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow on August 29, favoring a minimum near 22–23°C. These conditions contrast with typical late-August clear skies that allow stronger surface heat loss and lower readings closer to the 23°C climatological norm. Model spreads arise mainly from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs showing slightly stronger northerly advection that could dip the low to 21°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus guidance heavily, as official station data from the Tokyo region will resolve the market shortly after sunrise.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
22°C 45%
21°C 29%
23°C 16%
24°C 10%
19°C or below
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
29%
22°C
45%
23°C
16%
24°C
9%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
21°C 29%
23°C 16%
24°C 10%
19°C or below
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
29%
22°C
45%
23°C
16%
24°C
9%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo will be limited by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow on August 29, favoring a minimum near 22–23°C. These conditions contrast with typical late-August clear skies that allow stronger surface heat loss and lower readings closer to the 23°C climatological norm. Model spreads arise mainly from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs showing slightly stronger northerly advection that could dip the low to 21°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus guidance heavily, as official station data from the Tokyo region will resolve the market shortly after sunrise.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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