Forecasts from numerical models show peak daytime highs in Guangzhou on August 28 clustering between 34–35 °C, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity expected to limit further warming. Persistent late-summer monsoon moisture and cloud cover have kept recent daily maxima near or below seasonal averages of 33 °C, while any breaks in convection or localized subsidence could allow readings to reach 36 °C. Trader positioning around these three outcomes reflects the narrow spread in current guidance and the resolution criteria based on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated model runs and short-range forecasts issued over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen probabilities ahead of the market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 28?
35°C 28%
34°C 18%
36°C 18%
33°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
6%
33°C
10%
34°C
18%
35°C
28%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
6%
35°C 28%
34°C 18%
36°C 18%
33°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
6%
33°C
10%
34°C
18%
35°C
28%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from numerical models show peak daytime highs in Guangzhou on August 28 clustering between 34–35 °C, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity expected to limit further warming. Persistent late-summer monsoon moisture and cloud cover have kept recent daily maxima near or below seasonal averages of 33 °C, while any breaks in convection or localized subsidence could allow readings to reach 36 °C. Trader positioning around these three outcomes reflects the narrow spread in current guidance and the resolution criteria based on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated model runs and short-range forecasts issued over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen probabilities ahead of the market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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