Latest short-range ensemble guidance from models such as the GFS converges on a daytime maximum of 26–28 °C for Munich on August 26, driven by weak southerly flow and modest warm-air advection under partly cloudy to overcast skies with limited shower activity. This positions the 27 °C outcome as the market leader at 45 % implied probability, consistent with current observational trends showing temperatures running several degrees above the late-August climatological mean of ~23–24 °C. Cloud cover and light winds are expected to cap peak heating, keeping probabilities for 29 °C or higher below 10 %. Updated model cycles and official DWD guidance over the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the narrow 26–28 °C cluster.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on August 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 26?
27°C 46%
26°C 23%
28°C 22%
25°C 18%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
12%
26°C
23%
27°C
46%
28°C
22%
29°C
7%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
3%
27°C 46%
26°C 23%
28°C 22%
25°C 18%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$23 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$50 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C
$156 Vol.
12%
26°C
$33 Vol.
23%
27°C
$19 Vol.
46%
28°C
$12 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble guidance from models such as the GFS converges on a daytime maximum of 26–28 °C for Munich on August 26, driven by weak southerly flow and modest warm-air advection under partly cloudy to overcast skies with limited shower activity. This positions the 27 °C outcome as the market leader at 45 % implied probability, consistent with current observational trends showing temperatures running several degrees above the late-August climatological mean of ~23–24 °C. Cloud cover and light winds are expected to cap peak heating, keeping probabilities for 29 °C or higher below 10 %. Updated model cycles and official DWD guidance over the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the narrow 26–28 °C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$293Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble guidance from models such as the GFS converges on a daytime maximum of 26–28 °C for Munich on August 26, driven by weak southerly flow and modest warm-air advection under partly cloudy to overcast skies with limited shower activity. This positions the 27 °C outcome as the market leader at 45 % implied probability, consistent with current observational trends showing temperatures running several degrees above the late-August climatological mean of ~23–24 °C. Cloud cover and light winds are expected to cap peak heating, keeping probabilities for 29 °C or higher below 10 %. Updated model cycles and official DWD guidance over the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the narrow 26–28 °C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$293Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range ensemble guidance from models such as the GFS converges on a daytime maximum of 26–28 °C for Munich on August 26, driven by weak southerly flow and modest warm-air advection under partly cloudy to overcast skies with limited shower activity. This positions the 27 °C outcome as the market leader at 45 % implied probability, consistent with current observational trends showing temperatures running several degrees above the late-August climatological mean of ~23–24 °C. Cloud cover and light winds are expected to cap peak heating, keeping probabilities for 29 °C or higher below 10 %. Updated model cycles and official DWD guidance over the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the narrow 26–28 °C cluster.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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