Recent forecast guidance from MetService and other agencies points to a daytime maximum of 15–16°C in Wellington on August 26 under northwesterly flows with increasing cloud and possible showers, positioning these values as the dominant market outcomes. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures for the region amid emerging El Niño conditions, consistent with historical August highs around 12–13°C but tempered by recent milder spells following earlier polar outbreaks. Model consensus supports limited warming potential from variable winds and high pressure building later in the period, while cooler scenarios remain possible if southerly shifts strengthen. Upcoming official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
16°C 61%
15°C 28%
17°C 8%
18°C 2%
$25,451 Vol.
$25,451 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
28%
16°C
61%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 28%
17°C 8%
18°C 2%
$25,451 Vol.
$25,451 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
28%
16°C
61%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from MetService and other agencies points to a daytime maximum of 15–16°C in Wellington on August 26 under northwesterly flows with increasing cloud and possible showers, positioning these values as the dominant market outcomes. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures for the region amid emerging El Niño conditions, consistent with historical August highs around 12–13°C but tempered by recent milder spells following earlier polar outbreaks. Model consensus supports limited warming potential from variable winds and high pressure building later in the period, while cooler scenarios remain possible if southerly shifts strengthen. Upcoming official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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