Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight persistent monsoon-driven moisture and heavy rainfall over Guangzhou on August 25 as the main driver behind trader positioning near 31–33 °C. Extensive cloud cover reduces surface insolation while evaporative cooling from precipitation compresses the diurnal range, keeping peaks close to the seasonal norm of ~31–32 °C amid high humidity and light steering winds. Minor model disagreements on convective timing and low-level moisture advection create the tight spread among the top three outcomes, with any delay in rain onset potentially allowing brief warming toward 34 °C before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
32°C 27%
33°C 24%
31°C 21%
30°C 12%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
12%
31°C
21%
32°C
27%
33°C
24%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 27%
33°C 24%
31°C 21%
30°C 12%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
12%
31°C
21%
32°C
27%
33°C
24%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight persistent monsoon-driven moisture and heavy rainfall over Guangzhou on August 25 as the main driver behind trader positioning near 31–33 °C. Extensive cloud cover reduces surface insolation while evaporative cooling from precipitation compresses the diurnal range, keeping peaks close to the seasonal norm of ~31–32 °C amid high humidity and light steering winds. Minor model disagreements on convective timing and low-level moisture advection create the tight spread among the top three outcomes, with any delay in rain onset potentially allowing brief warming toward 34 °C before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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