Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity continues to drive cloud cover and scattered showers across Metro Manila, moderating daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms of 29–31°C. PAGASA outlooks for August 25 project highs of 29–31°C with 60–90% rain probability, while longer-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological averages align with similar values. Recent model runs show limited model spread, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 32–33°C but widespread convection likely capping extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting these near-term atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of significant deviation absent unexpected steering changes or reduced rainfall.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on August 25?
31°C 31%
32°C 28%
30°C 17%
33°C 15%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
17%
31°C
31%
32°C
28%
33°C
15%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 31%
32°C 28%
30°C 17%
33°C 15%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
17%
31°C
31%
32°C
28%
33°C
15%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity continues to drive cloud cover and scattered showers across Metro Manila, moderating daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms of 29–31°C. PAGASA outlooks for August 25 project highs of 29–31°C with 60–90% rain probability, while longer-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological averages align with similar values. Recent model runs show limited model spread, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 32–33°C but widespread convection likely capping extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting these near-term atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of significant deviation absent unexpected steering changes or reduced rainfall.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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