Persistent thunderstorm activity and extensive cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta are the main factors keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 31–33 °C for Guangzhou’s maximum temperature on August 27. Late-summer monsoon moisture fuels frequent convective cells that limit insolation and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping daytime peaks 1–3 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 33.1 °C. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows only modest differences in steering flow and boundary-layer moisture, producing a narrow range of forecast highs between 31 °C and 33 °C. With the event only 48 hours away, the next 12–24 hours of updated regional model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance will be the decisive inputs for traders assessing whether cloud breaks allow a brief spike to 34 °C or sustained rain keeps readings nearer 31 °C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
32°C 35%
33°C 27%
31°C 19%
34°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
19%
32°C
35%
33°C
27%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 35%
33°C 27%
31°C 19%
34°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$385 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$56 Vol.
2%
30°C
$121 Vol.
5%
31°C
$29 Vol.
19%
32°C
$78 Vol.
35%
33°C
$108 Vol.
27%
34°C
$43 Vol.
14%
35°C or higher
$573 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent thunderstorm activity and extensive cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta are the main factors keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 31–33 °C for Guangzhou’s maximum temperature on August 27. Late-summer monsoon moisture fuels frequent convective cells that limit insolation and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping daytime peaks 1–3 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 33.1 °C. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows only modest differences in steering flow and boundary-layer moisture, producing a narrow range of forecast highs between 31 °C and 33 °C. With the event only 48 hours away, the next 12–24 hours of updated regional model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance will be the decisive inputs for traders assessing whether cloud breaks allow a brief spike to 34 °C or sustained rain keeps readings nearer 31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,121Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent thunderstorm activity and extensive cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta are the main factors keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 31–33 °C for Guangzhou’s maximum temperature on August 27. Late-summer monsoon moisture fuels frequent convective cells that limit insolation and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping daytime peaks 1–3 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 33.1 °C. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows only modest differences in steering flow and boundary-layer moisture, producing a narrow range of forecast highs between 31 °C and 33 °C. With the event only 48 hours away, the next 12–24 hours of updated regional model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance will be the decisive inputs for traders assessing whether cloud breaks allow a brief spike to 34 °C or sustained rain keeps readings nearer 31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,121Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent thunderstorm activity and extensive cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta are the main factors keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 31–33 °C for Guangzhou’s maximum temperature on August 27. Late-summer monsoon moisture fuels frequent convective cells that limit insolation and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping daytime peaks 1–3 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 33.1 °C. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows only modest differences in steering flow and boundary-layer moisture, producing a narrow range of forecast highs between 31 °C and 33 °C. With the event only 48 hours away, the next 12–24 hours of updated regional model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance will be the decisive inputs for traders assessing whether cloud breaks allow a brief spike to 34 °C or sustained rain keeps readings nearer 31 °C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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