Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models highlight the main uncertainty around Chengdu's August 27 maximum, with consensus pointing to 34–36°C under lingering subtropical high pressure and the Sichuan Basin's typical heat retention and high humidity. Historical late-August averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet recent years show more frequent excursions above 35°C amid broader warming trends. Scattered afternoon convection could cap the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings higher, while small timing differences in model guidance explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34°C and 36°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 27?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 27?
36°C 30%
35°C 25%
34°C 20%
37°C 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 27, 2026
30°C or below
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
11%
34°C
20%
35°C
25%
36°C
30%
37°C
15%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 30%
35°C 25%
34°C 20%
37°C 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 27, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C
$27 Vol.
20%
35°C
$12 Vol.
25%
36°C
$0 Vol.
30%
37°C
$4 Vol.
15%
38°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models highlight the main uncertainty around Chengdu's August 27 maximum, with consensus pointing to 34–36°C under lingering subtropical high pressure and the Sichuan Basin's typical heat retention and high humidity. Historical late-August averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet recent years show more frequent excursions above 35°C amid broader warming trends. Scattered afternoon convection could cap the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings higher, while small timing differences in model guidance explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34°C and 36°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$31Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models highlight the main uncertainty around Chengdu's August 27 maximum, with consensus pointing to 34–36°C under lingering subtropical high pressure and the Sichuan Basin's typical heat retention and high humidity. Historical late-August averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet recent years show more frequent excursions above 35°C amid broader warming trends. Scattered afternoon convection could cap the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings higher, while small timing differences in model guidance explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34°C and 36°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models highlight the main uncertainty around Chengdu's August 27 maximum, with consensus pointing to 34–36°C under lingering subtropical high pressure and the Sichuan Basin's typical heat retention and high humidity. Historical late-August averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet recent years show more frequent excursions above 35°C amid broader warming trends. Scattered afternoon convection could cap the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings higher, while small timing differences in model guidance explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34°C and 36°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong