Forecast models from sources like Yr.no, WeatherBug, and regional Chinese services show broad agreement on a peak temperature of 28–29°C for Qingdao on August 30, driven by moderating Yellow Sea influence, northerly flow, and increasing cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. Historical August maxima average near 29°C, but recent shifts toward partly cloudy to overcast conditions and light precipitation chances have tempered expectations for higher values. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–30°C because of typical model spread in timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer moisture, with lower odds on 33°C+ reflecting limited instability. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any clearing allows a brief spike toward the upper end of the range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
33°C or higher 46%
27°C 33%
28°C 30%
29°C 30%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
33%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C
22%
31°C
28%
32°C
27%
33°C or higher
46%
33°C or higher 46%
27°C 33%
28°C 30%
29°C 30%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
33%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C
22%
31°C
28%
32°C
27%
33°C or higher
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like Yr.no, WeatherBug, and regional Chinese services show broad agreement on a peak temperature of 28–29°C for Qingdao on August 30, driven by moderating Yellow Sea influence, northerly flow, and increasing cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. Historical August maxima average near 29°C, but recent shifts toward partly cloudy to overcast conditions and light precipitation chances have tempered expectations for higher values. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–30°C because of typical model spread in timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer moisture, with lower odds on 33°C+ reflecting limited instability. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any clearing allows a brief spike toward the upper end of the range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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