Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global model consensus point to a high near 30–32°C in Tokyo on August 28 amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moist southerly flow following a frontal passage. These conditions reduce peak solar heating relative to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, while high humidity and light winds limit overnight cooling and convective mixing. Ensemble spreads in timing and intensity of showers introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 29°C and 32°C. Updated JMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 28?
31°C 42%
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
32°C 12%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
30%
31°C
28%
32°C
12%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 42%
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
32°C 12%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
30%
31°C
28%
32°C
12%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global model consensus point to a high near 30–32°C in Tokyo on August 28 amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moist southerly flow following a frontal passage. These conditions reduce peak solar heating relative to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, while high humidity and light winds limit overnight cooling and convective mixing. Ensemble spreads in timing and intensity of showers introduce modest uncertainty around exact maxima, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 29°C and 32°C. Updated JMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong