Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain associated with a southwesterly flow are limiting solar heating and keeping London’s maximum temperature on August 29 clustered in the low 20s °C. Official guidance from the Met Office and global models indicates daytime highs near 20–22 °C under mostly overcast skies, with showers reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings higher. The narrow spread among market-implied probabilities for 20 °C, 21 °C, and 22 °C reflects uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which directly affects peak afternoon warmth; stronger or more persistent rain favors the lower end, while any temporary breaks in cloud could allow marginal warming. Historical late-August averages in London hover near 21 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against current model consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on August 29?
21°C 34%
20°C 31%
22°C 18%
19°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
31%
21°C
34%
22°C
18%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 34%
20°C 31%
22°C 18%
19°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
31%
21°C
34%
22°C
18%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain associated with a southwesterly flow are limiting solar heating and keeping London’s maximum temperature on August 29 clustered in the low 20s °C. Official guidance from the Met Office and global models indicates daytime highs near 20–22 °C under mostly overcast skies, with showers reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings higher. The narrow spread among market-implied probabilities for 20 °C, 21 °C, and 22 °C reflects uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which directly affects peak afternoon warmth; stronger or more persistent rain favors the lower end, while any temporary breaks in cloud could allow marginal warming. Historical late-August averages in London hover near 21 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against current model consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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