**Forecast models and official guidance from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international sources point to a highest temperature of 17–18 °C on 27 August 2026 in Buenos Aires, with the market’s tight clustering around 18 °C (32.5 %) and 19 °C (35 %) reflecting that narrow range.** A southerly wind shift behind a weak frontal boundary is expected to limit afternoon warming while increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, especially during the morning and midday hours. This setup caps the daily maximum near or slightly above the seasonal average high of roughly 16 °C. Recent model runs show afternoon readings stabilizing at 17–18 °C under mostly cloudy skies, with dew points in the 11–13 °C range and moderate southeast winds near 15–20 km/h further suppressing temperature rise. Slight upward revisions to 19–20 °C remain possible if breaks in cloud cover allow more insolation, but persistent rain and the southerly flow make those outcomes less likely. The market’s emphasis on the 18–19 °C band therefore tracks the consensus that the day will be mild yet capped by the incoming maritime air mass. Updated model guidance late on 26 August will be the key near-term driver of any final shift in trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 27?
19°C 35%
18°C 33%
20°C 20%
17°C 10%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
10%
18°C
33%
19°C
35%
20°C
20%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 35%
18°C 33%
20°C 20%
17°C 10%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
10%
18°C
33%
19°C
35%
20°C
20%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international sources point to a highest temperature of 17–18 °C on 27 August 2026 in Buenos Aires, with the market’s tight clustering around 18 °C (32.5 %) and 19 °C (35 %) reflecting that narrow range.** A southerly wind shift behind a weak frontal boundary is expected to limit afternoon warming while increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, especially during the morning and midday hours. This setup caps the daily maximum near or slightly above the seasonal average high of roughly 16 °C. Recent model runs show afternoon readings stabilizing at 17–18 °C under mostly cloudy skies, with dew points in the 11–13 °C range and moderate southeast winds near 15–20 km/h further suppressing temperature rise. Slight upward revisions to 19–20 °C remain possible if breaks in cloud cover allow more insolation, but persistent rain and the southerly flow make those outcomes less likely. The market’s emphasis on the 18–19 °C band therefore tracks the consensus that the day will be mild yet capped by the incoming maritime air mass. Updated model guidance late on 26 August will be the key near-term driver of any final shift in trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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