Recent official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models indicate a daytime high near 16–17 °C for Buenos Aires on August 26, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and minimal diurnal warming under stable winter conditions. These readings align with climatological norms for late August, when average highs range 15–18 °C, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative heating keeps upside limited. Trader consensus reflected in the 19 °C (41.5 %) and 18 °C (19 %) probabilities appears anchored to slightly warmer model runs or local station variability, with 20 °C priced lower amid the consensus around 16–17 °C. Updated SMN and NHC-adjacent guidance expected overnight will provide the next resolution-relevant data point.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 26?
19°C 42%
20°C 22%
18°C 20%
17°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
20%
19°C
42%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
3%
19°C 42%
20°C 22%
18°C 20%
17°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
20%
19°C
42%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models indicate a daytime high near 16–17 °C for Buenos Aires on August 26, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and minimal diurnal warming under stable winter conditions. These readings align with climatological norms for late August, when average highs range 15–18 °C, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative heating keeps upside limited. Trader consensus reflected in the 19 °C (41.5 %) and 18 °C (19 %) probabilities appears anchored to slightly warmer model runs or local station variability, with 20 °C priced lower amid the consensus around 16–17 °C. Updated SMN and NHC-adjacent guidance expected overnight will provide the next resolution-relevant data point.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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