Recent model consensus from major agencies points to a minimum temperature of 8–11°C in Buenos Aires on August 26 under stable high pressure near 1024 hPa and light northeasterly winds following the late-August cold outbreak. Small variations in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across these outcomes, as reduced radiative cooling under clearer skies favors the lower end while modest warming aloft supports 10–11°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 8–10°C, and traders are balancing recent surface observations near 6–7°C against expected gradual moderation. Updated model runs and real-time observations in the next 12–24 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 26?
14°C or higher 49%
10°C 30%
8°C 28%
9°C 27%
4°C or below
13%
5°C
8%
6°C
24%
7°C
24%
8°C
28%
9°C
27%
10°C
30%
11°C
25%
12°C
23%
13°C
14%
14°C or higher
49%
14°C or higher 49%
10°C 30%
8°C 28%
9°C 27%
4°C or below
13%
5°C
8%
6°C
24%
7°C
24%
8°C
28%
9°C
27%
10°C
30%
11°C
25%
12°C
23%
13°C
14%
14°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major agencies points to a minimum temperature of 8–11°C in Buenos Aires on August 26 under stable high pressure near 1024 hPa and light northeasterly winds following the late-August cold outbreak. Small variations in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across these outcomes, as reduced radiative cooling under clearer skies favors the lower end while modest warming aloft supports 10–11°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 8–10°C, and traders are balancing recent surface observations near 6–7°C against expected gradual moderation. Updated model runs and real-time observations in the next 12–24 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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