**Forecast consensus from multiple sources points to a low temperature in the upper 50s for Seattle on August 27, 2026, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward 58-59°F (51.0% implied probability).** National Weather Service, local meteorological services, and private models consistently project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds (10-15 mph), and stable high pressure. Typical late-August climatology for Seattle (average low near 56°F) supports this range, with marine air from Puget Sound moderating temperatures and preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming cold fronts or clear-sky radiative cooling extremes that would push readings into the mid-50s or lower 60s. The 60-61°F bin (31.5%) captures upside risk from slightly stronger southerly flow or cloud cover retaining heat, while lower bins (56-57°F at 26.5%) reflect possible minor under-forecasting in drier air. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow forecast envelope and limited day-to-day changes observed through August 26, with the 58-59°F outcome emerging as the mode across official guidance. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at Sea-Tac or equivalent stations during the overnight period.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Seattle on August 27?
58-59°F 51%
60-61°F 32%
56-57°F 27%
62-63°F 13%
51°F or below
2%
52-53°F
6%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
51%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70°F or higher
2%
58-59°F 51%
60-61°F 32%
56-57°F 27%
62-63°F 13%
51°F or below
2%
52-53°F
6%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
51%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple sources points to a low temperature in the upper 50s for Seattle on August 27, 2026, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward 58-59°F (51.0% implied probability).** National Weather Service, local meteorological services, and private models consistently project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds (10-15 mph), and stable high pressure. Typical late-August climatology for Seattle (average low near 56°F) supports this range, with marine air from Puget Sound moderating temperatures and preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming cold fronts or clear-sky radiative cooling extremes that would push readings into the mid-50s or lower 60s. The 60-61°F bin (31.5%) captures upside risk from slightly stronger southerly flow or cloud cover retaining heat, while lower bins (56-57°F at 26.5%) reflect possible minor under-forecasting in drier air. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow forecast envelope and limited day-to-day changes observed through August 26, with the 58-59°F outcome emerging as the mode across official guidance. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at Sea-Tac or equivalent stations during the overnight period.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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