Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover over Cape Town on August 29, limiting daytime heating after warmer northerly conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near 16–18 °C, with light rain possible that enhances evaporative cooling and reduces insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 36 % implied probability for 18 °C versus 28 % for 17 °C and 17.5 % for 16 °C arises from minor differences in predicted wind speeds, cloud arrival timing, and boundary-layer mixing; stronger or earlier southerly advection would favor the lower end of the range while delayed changes support the higher. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
18°C 36%
17°C 28%
16°C 18%
15°C 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
6%
15°C
17%
16°C
18%
17°C
28%
18°C
36%
19°C
14%
20°C
10%
21°C
7%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 36%
17°C 28%
16°C 18%
15°C 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5 Vol.
6%
15°C
$5 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$32 Vol.
36%
19°C
$263 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$20 Vol.
7%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover over Cape Town on August 29, limiting daytime heating after warmer northerly conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near 16–18 °C, with light rain possible that enhances evaporative cooling and reduces insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 36 % implied probability for 18 °C versus 28 % for 17 °C and 17.5 % for 16 °C arises from minor differences in predicted wind speeds, cloud arrival timing, and boundary-layer mixing; stronger or earlier southerly advection would favor the lower end of the range while delayed changes support the higher. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$329Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover over Cape Town on August 29, limiting daytime heating after warmer northerly conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near 16–18 °C, with light rain possible that enhances evaporative cooling and reduces insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 36 % implied probability for 18 °C versus 28 % for 17 °C and 17.5 % for 16 °C arises from minor differences in predicted wind speeds, cloud arrival timing, and boundary-layer mixing; stronger or earlier southerly advection would favor the lower end of the range while delayed changes support the higher. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$329Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover over Cape Town on August 29, limiting daytime heating after warmer northerly conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near 16–18 °C, with light rain possible that enhances evaporative cooling and reduces insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 36 % implied probability for 18 °C versus 28 % for 17 °C and 17.5 % for 16 °C arises from minor differences in predicted wind speeds, cloud arrival timing, and boundary-layer mixing; stronger or earlier southerly advection would favor the lower end of the range while delayed changes support the higher. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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