Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daily high of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 27, with northeast winds, partial cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle expected to limit peak heating. This consensus, building on recent days of 32–33°C maxima under similar monsoon-influenced patterns, positions 32°C as the mode in trader positioning at 59.5% implied probability. Lower 31°C odds reflect uncertainty from possible stronger cloud suppression, while 33°C remains a secondary outcome if skies clear more than anticipated. Updated model runs and any morning observations will further refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
32°C 60%
31°C 25%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
$14,216 Vol.
$14,216 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
25%
32°C
60%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
31°C 25%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
$14,216 Vol.
$14,216 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
25%
32°C
60%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daily high of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 27, with northeast winds, partial cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle expected to limit peak heating. This consensus, building on recent days of 32–33°C maxima under similar monsoon-influenced patterns, positions 32°C as the mode in trader positioning at 59.5% implied probability. Lower 31°C odds reflect uncertainty from possible stronger cloud suppression, while 33°C remains a secondary outcome if skies clear more than anticipated. Updated model runs and any morning observations will further refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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