Forecast consensus from MetService and international models positions Wellington's maximum temperature on August 29 near 15°C under mostly sunny skies with moderate northwest winds. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical highs range 13–15°C amid variable maritime airflow and limited solar heating at 41°S latitude. Recent observations show stable conditions with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems approaching, supporting the strong market-implied probability near 15°C. Updates from afternoon model runs or official station readings at Wellington Airport could shift odds if unexpected cooling from wind changes or increased cloudiness occurs before peak heating around 2–4 PM local time.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
15°C 98%
16°C 3%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$55,850 Vol.
$55,850 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
98%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 98%
16°C 3%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$55,850 Vol.
$55,850 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
98%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from MetService and international models positions Wellington's maximum temperature on August 29 near 15°C under mostly sunny skies with moderate northwest winds. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical highs range 13–15°C amid variable maritime airflow and limited solar heating at 41°S latitude. Recent observations show stable conditions with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems approaching, supporting the strong market-implied probability near 15°C. Updates from afternoon model runs or official station readings at Wellington Airport could shift odds if unexpected cooling from wind changes or increased cloudiness occurs before peak heating around 2–4 PM local time.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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