Forecast models point to an overnight low in Wellington on August 30 most likely between 9–11 °C, driven by clear to mostly clear skies that permit strong radiative cooling after sunset, combined with moderate northwesterly winds that limit extreme drops through mixing of the boundary layer. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with minimums fluctuating around the August climatological average of roughly 10 °C at Wellington Airport. Ensemble guidance and local MetService outlooks converge on this narrow range, though small differences in cloud cover timing or wind strength create the tight spread among the leading market outcomes at 9 °C, 10 °C, and 11 °C. Traders are weighting the most probable single-degree bins while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of 1–2 °C within 24 hours of the event.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
7°C 49%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
10°C 33%
6°C or below
14%
7°C
49%
8°C
25%
9°C
27%
10°C
33%
11°C
30%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
13%
7°C 49%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
10°C 33%
6°C or below
14%
7°C
49%
8°C
25%
9°C
27%
10°C
33%
11°C
30%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models point to an overnight low in Wellington on August 30 most likely between 9–11 °C, driven by clear to mostly clear skies that permit strong radiative cooling after sunset, combined with moderate northwesterly winds that limit extreme drops through mixing of the boundary layer. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with minimums fluctuating around the August climatological average of roughly 10 °C at Wellington Airport. Ensemble guidance and local MetService outlooks converge on this narrow range, though small differences in cloud cover timing or wind strength create the tight spread among the leading market outcomes at 9 °C, 10 °C, and 11 °C. Traders are weighting the most probable single-degree bins while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of 1–2 °C within 24 hours of the event.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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