Official MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on August 29 project an overnight minimum near 9–11°C under persistent northwesterly flow and mostly clear skies, with no strong radiative cooling or southerly surge expected to drive temperatures lower. Late-winter climatology for the region shows typical minima of 8–10°C at airport and urban stations, and current observations plus short-range ensembles remain tightly clustered around this range with minimal spread. The 99.5% market-implied probability on 11°C reflects this high-confidence forecast consensus, though an unseasonably calm, clear night or station-specific siting could still produce a slightly lower reading before midnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 Vol.
$2,323 Vol.
11°C
100%
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 Vol.
$2,323 Vol.
11°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on August 29 project an overnight minimum near 9–11°C under persistent northwesterly flow and mostly clear skies, with no strong radiative cooling or southerly surge expected to drive temperatures lower. Late-winter climatology for the region shows typical minima of 8–10°C at airport and urban stations, and current observations plus short-range ensembles remain tightly clustered around this range with minimal spread. The 99.5% market-implied probability on 11°C reflects this high-confidence forecast consensus, though an unseasonably calm, clear night or station-specific siting could still produce a slightly lower reading before midnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong