Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a low in the mid-60s°F for Los Angeles on August 31, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore southwest flow that limits overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. This pattern follows a late-August heat wave but aligns with typical late-summer climatology near 64–65°F at downtown and LAX stations. Trader probabilities cluster across the 60–73°F range, with 68–69°F highest at 29%, reflecting minor forecast spread and uncertainty over exact station measurement, while sub-60°F or 74°F+ outcomes remain low-probability outliers given stable conditions. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the next key data points.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 31?
68-69°F 54%
58-59°F 39%
66-67°F 27%
70-71°F 27%
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
26%
74°F or higher
4%
68-69°F 54%
58-59°F 39%
66-67°F 27%
70-71°F 27%
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
26%
74°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a low in the mid-60s°F for Los Angeles on August 31, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore southwest flow that limits overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. This pattern follows a late-August heat wave but aligns with typical late-summer climatology near 64–65°F at downtown and LAX stations. Trader probabilities cluster across the 60–73°F range, with 68–69°F highest at 29%, reflecting minor forecast spread and uncertainty over exact station measurement, while sub-60°F or 74°F+ outcomes remain low-probability outliers given stable conditions. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the next key data points.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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