Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Cape Town's September 21 maximum will most likely fall in the 27–29°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light southeasterly winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. These conditions deviate above the month’s climatological average of roughly 19–21°C, with strong solar insolation and low humidity supporting the warmer outcomes priced highest by traders. Minor model spread on exact peak timing and localized sea-breeze effects keeps probabilities for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C closely bunched, while the slim odds on 30°C+ or 26°C and below reflect the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for any market movement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 21?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 21?
28°C 37%
29°C 25%
27°C 22%
30°C 18%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
22%
28°C
33%
29°C
23%
30°C
17%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
11%
28°C 37%
29°C 25%
27°C 22%
30°C 18%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
$86 Vol.
1%
23°C
$197 Vol.
3%
24°C
$9 Vol.
5%
25°C
$85 Vol.
5%
26°C
$11 Vol.
14%
27°C
$139 Vol.
22%
28°C
$125 Vol.
33%
29°C
$14 Vol.
23%
30°C
$48 Vol.
17%
31°C
$2 Vol.
10%
32°C or higher
$7 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Cape Town's September 21 maximum will most likely fall in the 27–29°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light southeasterly winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. These conditions deviate above the month’s climatological average of roughly 19–21°C, with strong solar insolation and low humidity supporting the warmer outcomes priced highest by traders. Minor model spread on exact peak timing and localized sea-breeze effects keeps probabilities for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C closely bunched, while the slim odds on 30°C+ or 26°C and below reflect the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for any market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$721Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Cape Town's September 21 maximum will most likely fall in the 27–29°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light southeasterly winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. These conditions deviate above the month’s climatological average of roughly 19–21°C, with strong solar insolation and low humidity supporting the warmer outcomes priced highest by traders. Minor model spread on exact peak timing and localized sea-breeze effects keeps probabilities for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C closely bunched, while the slim odds on 30°C+ or 26°C and below reflect the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for any market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$721Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Cape Town's September 21 maximum will most likely fall in the 27–29°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light southeasterly winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. These conditions deviate above the month’s climatological average of roughly 19–21°C, with strong solar insolation and low humidity supporting the warmer outcomes priced highest by traders. Minor model spread on exact peak timing and localized sea-breeze effects keeps probabilities for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C closely bunched, while the slim odds on 30°C+ or 26°C and below reflect the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for any market movement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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