Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$62,352 Vol.
$62,352 Vol.
May 1, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$62,352 Vol.
$62,352 Vol.
May 1, 2026
12°C or below
$1,348 Vol.
No
13°C
$959 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,190 Vol.
No
15°C
$570 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,871 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,114 Vol.
No
18°C
$11,658 Vol.
No
19°C
$18,281 Vol.
No
20°C
$10,721 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$6,430 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$8,210 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$62,352Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,352Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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