Current forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a high near 32–33°C for Chengdu on September 3 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Clear conditions enable strong daytime solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin, while low-to-moderate humidity (around 40–50%) and minimal cloud cover favor peak readings in the early afternoon. Minor model spreads arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat island effects from the city’s dense built environment, and any late adjustments to steering flow. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 3?
34°C 26%
33°C 22%
35°C 18%
37°C or higher 17%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
9%
32°C
16%
33°C
22%
34°C
26%
35°C
18%
36°C
10%
37°C or higher
17%
34°C 26%
33°C 22%
35°C 18%
37°C or higher 17%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
9%
32°C
16%
33°C
22%
34°C
26%
35°C
18%
36°C
10%
37°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a high near 32–33°C for Chengdu on September 3 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Clear conditions enable strong daytime solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin, while low-to-moderate humidity (around 40–50%) and minimal cloud cover favor peak readings in the early afternoon. Minor model spreads arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat island effects from the city’s dense built environment, and any late adjustments to steering flow. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong